Working papers 2012
(including abstracts)
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The world's largest reinsurance groups: a look at names, numbers, countries and performance J. F. Outreville Many reinsurance companies have, in the
past decade, increased their foreign direct investment and acquired
other companies in part because of the belief that only very large
players will have the cost advantages necessary to remain competitive
in global markets. Since the strategic decision to expand activities in
several foreign markets is implemented at the group level, the focus of
this paper is to examine data available on the internationalization
process of the world’s largest reinsurance consolidated groups. |
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Does religiosity promote property rights and the rule of law? N. Berggren, C. Bjørnskov Social and cultural determinants of
economic institutions and outcomes have come to the forefront of
economic research. We introduce religiosity, measured as the share for
which religion is important in daily life, to explain institutional
quality in the form of property rights and the rule of law. Previous
studies have only measured the impact of membership shares of different
religions, with mixed results. We find, in a cross-country regression
analysis comprising up to 112 countries, that religiosity is negatively
related to our institutional outcome variables. This only holds in
democracies (not autocracies), which suggests that religiosity affects
the way institutions work through the political process. Individual
religions are not related to our measure of institutional |
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Changes in the
economic structure of the world economy M. Syrquin In a neglected work of 1964, Kuznets
summarized some of the emerging results of his monumental work on
Modern Economic Growth (MEG) and used them to speculate on diversity,
interdependence, war, conflict, and cooperation among nations. It was
an unusual Kuznets study ‐ speculative rather than precise and
quantitative. |
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E. Luciano, L. Regis, E. Vigna The paper provides natural hedging
strategies among death benefits and annuities written on a single and
on different generations. |
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A theory of institutional legitimacy E.Colombatto Institutions matter: they affect
individual action, influence cooperation and are crucial in making the
difference between wealth and poverty, growth and stagnation. Yet, the
explanatory power of modern institutional economics has not been
exceedingly satisfactory. This paper criticizes the mainstream
institutional view and maintains that its key weakness consists in its
consequentialist nature. In contrast with the traditional perspective,
therefore, we suggest a theory of institutional dynamics based on the
notions of justice, social and procedural legitimacy and fairness. In
particular, we put forward a stylized model of society, which includes
two groups of individuals: the socialists and the libertarians. We
discuss under which conditions they are likely to cooperate, when
instability emerges and when demand for institutional change builds up.
Finally, we draw on these insights in order to articulate a new
research agenda for institutional economics. |
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A regional analysis of
renewable energy patenting in Italy T.D. Corsatea, S.
Dalmazzone
The paper investigates the mechanisms of
induced innovation in the renewable energy industry in Italy.
Descriptive analysis reveals a decoupling of innovation and production:
significant RES-related innovation in Northern Italy, high levels of
renewable energy production in Southern Italy. A panel analysis from
1997 to 2007 for the 20 Italian regions reveals that renewable-specific
local public R&D expenditure is the main determinant of the
renewable energy patenting pattern. Local financial incentives play a |
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Multiple-self models
in neuroeconomics. A methodological critique M. Stimolo
The idea of multiple-self models in
economics is that individual identity is the equilibrium result of the
strategic interaction between sub-personal selves. These models fill
the gap of standard rational choice theory in explaining inter-temporal
inconsistency of choices. This modelling procedure requires an
extension of revealed preference theory to the sub-personal level. This
extension is grounded in the assumption that sub-personal selves are
economic agents to whom analytical tools of microeconomics apply. I
claim that this assumption is false and entails the empirical
methodology of functional localization that fails to provide robust
results. |
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Risk premia in
multi-national enterprises
S. Lutz
The CAPM implies that investors require
equity risk premia when choosing risky investments and therefore demand
higher returns to equity invested if higher risk is present. This
should apply to investments in independent enterprises and
multi-national enterprises alike. This hypothesis is investigated by
analyzing a panel of 407,000 European firms for the years 1985 to 2010.
When income is set in relation to invested capital, risk measured by
earnings volatility emerges as the most important stable determinant of
income. Results indicate that both MNEs and independent firms regularly
account for risk as a major determinant of income when pricing
international goods and services. Hence international taxation rules
for multi-national enterprises should account for risk premia in
transfer prices and resulting profits. |
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The max U approach: prudence-only, or not even prudence? A Smithian perspective
D. Lipka
McCloskey criticizes Samuelsonian
economists for representing human beings in their models by a character
she dubs Max U. Max U, she argues, lacks all virtues except for
Prudence. The paper explores whether the identity between Max U and
Prudence is tenable and whether Samuelsonian economics can be
interpreted as a study of Prudence. I juxtapose Max U to the concept of
Prudence as it appears in Adam Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments
(TMS). The reason is twofold: 1) McCloskey assumes stability in the
meaning of Prudence from Aristotle to Samuelson and hence any concept
of Prudence would work 2) TMS occupies a prominent position in her
argument. I attempt to show that utility maximization is a process
distinct from practical reasoning underlying the virtue of Prudence and
Samuelsonian economics can therefore not be interpreted as a study of
Prudence. |
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The economists and the press in Italy: the case of Luigi Einaudi
G. Pavanelli
The present paper analyses Luigi
Einaudi’s role as opinion maker in the early decades of the twentieth
century, when he was the leading columnist on economic issues at the
Corriere della Sera. It focuses on the scope and limits of his efforts
to broaden the consensus among the Italian public opinion on the
principles of free competition, fiscal restraint and monetary
stability. To this end, it investigates Einaudi’s journalistic style,
his following among the public, his influence on the political elite
and his views concerning the role of the economist in society. Further
sections analyse the main issues tackled by Einaudi in his articles in
the Corriere before World War I and the work of propaganda he enacted
during the war in order to convince the Italian households to reduce
consumption and to subscribe Treasury bills. A final section deals with
the “reconstruction programme” devised by Einaudi after the war, his
efforts to promote this programme in the Corriere and his defeat with
the beginning of the fascist regime in 1925. We conclude that Einaudi’s
work as journalist, albeit very influential, is not immune from
inconsistencies. As a matter of fact, his efforts to promote economic
liberalism were bound to be frustrated - at least in the short run - by
the myths spread by the socialists on the one hand and by the
nationalists and fascists on the other. |
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Demographic risk transfer: is it worth for annuity providers? E. Luciano, L. Regis
Longevity risk transfer is a popular
choice for annuity providers such as pension funds. This paper
formalizes the trade-off between the cost and the risk relief of such
choice, when the annuity provider uses value-at-risk to assess risk.
Using first-order approximations we show that, if the transfer is
fairly priced and the aim of the fund is to maximize returns, the
funds' alternatives can be represented in the plane expected
return-VaR. We build a risk-return frontier, along which the optimal
transfer choices of the fund are located and calibrated it to the 2010
UK annuity and bond market. |
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Antitrust for high-tech and low: regulation, innovation, and risk R. A. Cass
Severe limitations on antitrust
enforcement officials’ knowledge and the potential impact of
ill-advised investigations and prosecutions on markets suggest that
officials should exercise extraordinary caution in enforcement of
restraints on single-firm conduct. Although it is common to depict
antitrust enforcement as protecting market competition while other
forms of regulation are seen as intrusions (justifiable or not) into
market operation, antitrust enforcement has characteristics and risks
similar to other forms of regulation. Government antitrust enforcement
can be especially problematic, as it requires discretionary selection
among an extraordinary range of possible targets, imposes significant
burdens on companies that are under investigation or subject to suit,
invites efforts by individual firms to motivate officials to deploy
resources against rivals, and can seriously disrupt competition among
firms. Antitrust authorities need to exercise special care in making
enforcement decisions respecting conduct of individual dominant firms
in high-technology industries, where antitrust enforcers’ abilities to
understand and predict industry evolution are most limited and where
enforcement actions are most likely to rest on debatable predicates
about the effects of specific conduct. This article examines government
enforcement decisions respecting four prior targets and draws lessons
for enforcement going forward. |
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Kidnap insurance and its impact on kidnapping outcomes A. Fink, M. Pingle In the developing world, kidnapping is
relatively common, and a market for kidnap insurance has arisen in
response. We provide a model that allows us to analyze how kidnap
insurance will affect the interaction between the kidnapper and the
victim’s family when both are self-interested and have complete
knowledge. We find that a market for kidnap insurance can be supported
because it benefits a risk averse family, as long as the introduction
of insurance does not increase the risk of kidnapping too much.
Families should fully insure if purchasing insurance does not increase
the probability of kidnapping, and partially insure otherwise.
Kidnapping insurance allows families to redeem hostages from kidnappers
who are more willing to kill, which will reduce the number of
kidnapping fatalities as long as the insurance does not increase the
risk of kidnapping too much. |
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Trade and environmental quality in African countries: so institutions matter? M.
Baliamoune-Lutz This paper examines the impact of trade
and political institutions on environmental quality in Africa and
explores whether political institutions matter to the trade-environment
relationship. We use data from a large group of African countries,
covering the period 1990-2008 and two indicators of environmental
quality: net forest depletion and CO2 emissions. The results from
GMM-SYS estimates suggest that political institutions influence the
relationship between trade and environmental quality only in the case
of CO2 emissions. Interestingly, we find that polity has a U
relationship with net forest depletion. In addition, the results are in
favor of an environmental Kuznets curve in the case of pollution (CO2
emissions) but not in the case of net forest depletion (deforestation).
We discuss the policy implications of these findings. |
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From sensory order to legal order: property and freedom of contract in the jurisprudence of David Hume S. Ratnapala David Hume’s theory of law and justice
is a central element of his moral philosophy. Hume’s theory of the mind
leads to a theory of undesigned social order based on fundamental laws
of justice that arise insensibly through experience. The need to secure
private property and its free exchange by the performance of promises
is the original cause of the emergence of the rules of justice. Hume
argues that the moral duty of obedience to authority arises from the
need to maintain the rules of justice and that a ruler who violates or
fails to uphold justice forfeits the right of allegiance. This paper
analyses Hume’s theory and argues that it is epistemologically superior
to natural rights theory and provides a powerful justification of
property rights and contractual freedom that remains valid today. |